Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.008242 0.009249 0.010352 0.011654 0.013151 0.014825 0.016845
2025-05-11 0.006685 0.008050 0.009673 0.011762 0.014401 0.017651 0.022003
2025-05-18 0.005729 0.007219 0.009089 0.011639 0.015071 0.019593 0.026111
2025-05-25 0.005139 0.006715 0.008783 0.011741 0.015937 0.021793 0.030795
2025-06-01 0.004618 0.006219 0.008396 0.011637 0.016446 0.023501 0.034977
2025-06-08 0.004110 0.005674 0.007866 0.011240 0.016444 0.024410 0.038025
2025-06-15 0.003811 0.005387 0.007662 0.011279 0.017072 0.026322 0.042940
2025-06-22 0.003653 0.005286 0.007710 0.011693 0.018316 0.029359 0.050246
2025-06-29 0.003365 0.004960 0.007383 0.011470 0.018479 0.030590 0.054503
2025-07-06 0.003106 0.004656 0.007060 0.011214 0.018545 0.031639 0.058567
2025-07-13 0.002925 0.004459 0.006889 0.011190 0.019002 0.033437 0.064400
2025-07-20 0.002828 0.004387 0.006911 0.011494 0.020078 0.036531 0.073473
2025-07-27 0.002665 0.004204 0.006747 0.011479 0.020610 0.038745 0.081351
2025-08-03 0.002533 0.004063 0.006645 0.011571 0.021371 0.041568 0.091331
2025-08-10 0.002381 0.003875 0.006443 0.011451 0.021687 0.043492 0.099583
2025-08-17 0.002277 0.003761 0.006362 0.011550 0.022462 0.046535 0.111396
2025-08-24 0.002153 0.003604 0.006188 0.011448 0.022794 0.048620 0.121194
2025-08-31 0.002002 0.003386 0.005886 0.011059 0.022450 0.049065 0.126530
2025-09-07 0.001918 0.003286 0.005797 0.011098 0.023066 0.051934 0.139696
2025-09-14 0.001885 0.003278 0.005881 0.011504 0.024578 0.057319 0.162164
2025-09-21 0.001782 0.003130 0.005682 0.011285 0.024583 0.058779 0.172445
2025-09-28 0.001684 0.002985 0.005478 0.011034 0.024480 0.059937 0.182073
2025-10-05 0.001616 0.002895 0.005379 0.011010 0.024938 0.062734 0.198388